Algarna 1-3 Kiruna FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
25%
+10.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algarna EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiruna FF EU Bookmakers 55%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.84/2.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.81/2.22
-40% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algarna
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kiruna FF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
23.09.2023 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 3-0 HT 2-0 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Algarna Algarna 0-1 HT 0-0 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Algarna Algarna 2-1 HT 1-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Algarna vs Kiruna FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiruna FF beat Algarna 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kiruna FF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kiruna FF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Algarna and 1.67 for Kiruna FF.

What was the final score of Algarna vs Kiruna FF?

Algarna 1-3 Kiruna FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algarna vs Kiruna FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kiruna FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Algarna 36%, draw 22%, Kiruna FF 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kiruna FF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kiruna FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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