Jonsereds IF 1-2 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
52%
Away Win
52%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 56%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.00/6.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.49
-100% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Jonsereds IF vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF nicked a narrow win over Jonsereds IF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varbergs GIF as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Jonsereds IF vs Varbergs GIF?

Jonsereds IF 1-2 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jonsereds IF vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jonsereds IF 29%, draw 19%, Varbergs GIF 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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