Hogaborgs BK 1-2 Simrishamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.43
No
53%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
66%
-19.1pp
53%
BTTS No
34%
+19.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Simrishamn EU Bookmakers 48%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+150% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs Simrishamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simrishamn squeezed past Hogaborgs BK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Simrishamn made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs Simrishamn?

Hogaborgs BK 1-2 Simrishamn in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs Simrishamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 41%, draw 22%, Simrishamn 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hogaborgs BK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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