Viggbyholms IK 1-1 Arlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viggbyholms IK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Arlanda EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/1.30
-1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 7
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viggbyholms IK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Arlanda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.10.2023 Arlanda Arlanda 0-0 HT 0-0 Viggbyholms IK Viggbyholms IK İSÇ4
16.06.2023 Viggbyholms IK Viggbyholms IK 2-3 HT 1-0 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Viggbyholms IK vs Arlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viggbyholms IK and Arlanda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arlanda at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arlanda led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viggbyholms IK and 1.50 for Arlanda.

What was the final score of Viggbyholms IK vs Arlanda?

Viggbyholms IK 1-1 Arlanda in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viggbyholms IK vs Arlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Viggbyholms IK 36%, draw 22%, Arlanda 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arlanda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arlanda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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