Österlen 1-0 Balkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Apr 2024

Österlen
1-0 HT 1-0
Balkan
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2024

Österlen vs Balkan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Österlen v Balkan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Balkan EU Bookmakers 31%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.38/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.02
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Österlen vs Balkan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Balkan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Österlen Österlen 1-1 HT 1-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
01.04.2023 Balkan Balkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
09.04.2022 Österlen Österlen 4-1 HT 3-1 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs Balkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen squeezed past Balkan 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Österlen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Österlen had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Österlen and 0.67 for Balkan.

What was the final score of Österlen vs Balkan?

Österlen 1-0 Balkan in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs Balkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Österlen 40%, draw 31%, Balkan 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Österlen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Österlen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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