Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.18/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.49
-18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
30.08.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
03.05.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-3 HT 1-2 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
30.07.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-3 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
03.04.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-3 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 4-3 HT 2-2 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK and Ahlafors IF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ahlafors IF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 2.17 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Ahlafors IF?

Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 28%, draw 26%, Ahlafors IF 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ahlafors IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ BTTS Yes
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