Ahlafors IF 1-0 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.0pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +10%
1.70/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.68
-25% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
03.05.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-3 HT 1-2 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
30.07.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-3 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
03.04.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-3 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 4-3 HT 2-2 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
18.06.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-3 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ahlafors IF
1-0
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF squeezed past Vanersborgs FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ahlafors IF had 54% of the ball to Vanersborgs FK's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ahlafors IF and 2.00 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs FK?

Ahlafors IF 1-0 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 49%, draw 30%, Vanersborgs FK 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✗ BTTS Yes
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