Ahlafors IF 1-0 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.89
Over 2.5
72%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.1pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.0pp
28%
Under 2.5
31%
-2.7pp
72%
Over 2.5
69%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +28%
2.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.62
-3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-3 HT 1-2 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
30.07.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-3 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
03.04.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-3 HT 0-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 4-3 HT 2-2 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
18.06.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-3 HT 0-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
08.10.2020 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-6 HT 2-3 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ahlafors IF
1-0
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF nicked a narrow win over Vanersborgs FK 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ahlafors IF had 48% of the ball to Vanersborgs FK's 52%, shots finished 22-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Ahlafors IF and 2.50 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs FK?

Ahlafors IF 1-0 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 57%, draw 17%, Vanersborgs FK 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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