Bergnäsets 2-2 IFK Lulea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.1pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 38%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.14/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.10
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +57%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
3W-0D-1L
AWAY IFK Lulea
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
27.04.2024 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 2-3 HT 0-3 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
30.09.2023 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
29.05.2023 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 0-1 HT 0-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
17.09.2022 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 1-2 HT 1-2 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs IFK Lulea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets and IFK Lulea couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bergnäsets at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bergnäsets had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Bergnäsets and 1.25 for IFK Lulea.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs IFK Lulea?

Bergnäsets 2-2 IFK Lulea in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs IFK Lulea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 47%, draw 21%, IFK Lulea 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bergnäsets), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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