Lokomotiv Gomel 4-0 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+5.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.44/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.22
-16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Orsha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Orsha Orsha 3-3 HT 2-2 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
05.10.2024 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
09.06.2024 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 HT 1-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1
26.08.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-2 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
17.10.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 2-1 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
01.08.2021 Orsha Orsha 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
4-0
AWAY Orsha
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Gomel vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Gomel cruised past Orsha 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiv Gomel as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotiv Gomel had 52% of the ball to Orsha's 48%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orsha led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Gomel and 1.50 for Orsha.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Gomel vs Orsha?

Lokomotiv Gomel 4-0 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Gomel vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Gomel 52%, draw 20%, Orsha 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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