Akademisk BK 3-0 Naestved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Naestved EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
2.42/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.73
+60% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +99%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Naestved
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
14.05.2025 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
03.11.2024 Naestved Naestved 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
03.08.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
09.04.2022 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
05.09.2021 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Naestved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK ran out comfortable winners over Naestved 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Akademisk BK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naestved led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Akademisk BK and 0.83 for Naestved.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Naestved?

Akademisk BK 3-0 Naestved in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Naestved?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akademisk BK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 45%, draw 21%, Naestved 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akademisk BK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Akademisk BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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