Arnavutluk U21 0-2 Almanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
2.71
6+ Goals
9%
7.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 28% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-11.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutluk U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.03
-100% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +150%
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
206 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 582 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.6
Crosses 27.7
Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutluk U21
0-2
AWAY Almanya U21
0.51 xG 1.55
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
216 Passes 573
74% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arnavutluk U21 vs Almanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U21 got the better of Arnavutluk U21 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Almanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arnavutluk U21 had 33% of the ball to Almanya U21's 67%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.51 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Arnavutluk U21 vs Almanya U21?

Arnavutluk U21 0-2 Almanya U21 in the Friendlies on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutluk U21 vs Almanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Arnavutluk U21 15%, draw 25%, Almanya U21 60%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U21), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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