Avustralya vs Yeni Zelanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avustralya v Yeni Zelanda — Team-Based Signals
Avustralya vs Yeni Zelanda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Yeni Zelanda
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-0
Avustralya
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Yeni Zelanda
HAZ
3-0
HT 1-0
Yeni Zelanda
HAZ
2-1
HT 0-1
Yeni Zelanda
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Yeni Zelanda
HAZ
Avustralya 1-0 Yeni Zelanda — Actual Match Statistics
Avustralya squeezed past Yeni Zelanda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Avustralya as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Avustralya had 46% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda's 54%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.36 to 0.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avustralya had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Avustralya and 0.17 for Yeni Zelanda.
What was the final score of Avustralya vs Yeni Zelanda?
Avustralya 1-0 Yeni Zelanda in the Friendlies on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avustralya vs Yeni Zelanda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Avustralya 60%, draw 21%, Yeni Zelanda 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.