Mönchengladbach 2-0 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.54
2-3 Goals
41%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
8%
7.96
X/X
7%
6.21
2/1
6%
19.5
2/2
11%
5.12
2/X
5%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 31%
+15% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.60/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.03
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.72 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
459 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
13.08.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-2 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
20.03.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-3 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
28.11.2020 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 4-1 HT 2-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
17.01.2020 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
17.08.2019 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
2-0
AWAY Schalke 04
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach got the better of Schalke 04 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mönchengladbach as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 53% of the ball to Schalke 04's 47%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mönchengladbach and 0.83 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Schalke 04?

Mönchengladbach 2-0 Schalke 04 in the Friendlies on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 54%, draw 21%, Schalke 04 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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