Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Championship, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Bristol City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.47 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
415 Passes 282
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
23.11.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
29.04.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-2 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNCL
17.09.2022 Burnley Burnley 2-1 HT 1-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
28.01.2017 Burnley Burnley 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City FAK
28.12.2015 Burnley Burnley 4-0 HT 2-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
PREVIEW Burnley vs Bristol City
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Burnley in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Both teams have scored in 5 of Burnley's last 5 home league games; meanwhile, over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Bristol City's last 5 away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley have the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Burnley against 0.33 for Bristol City.

Burnley vs Bristol City Kick-off Time

Burnley play Bristol City in the England - Championship on 05/09/2026, kick-off 17:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Burnley vs Bristol City Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Burnley vs Bristol City is a Burnley win at about 53% probability, priced 1.82 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Burnley 53%, draw 25%, Bristol City 23%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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