Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Burnley
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Bristol City
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Bristol City
FAK
4-0
HT 2-0
Bristol City
İNCL
1-2
HT 0-2
Burnley
İNCL
Burnley 1-0 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley edged past Bristol City 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Burnley as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Burnley had 54% of the ball to Bristol City's 46%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.90 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Burnley's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Burnley and 0.50 for Bristol City.
What was the final score of Burnley vs Bristol City?
Burnley 1-0 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs Bristol City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Burnley 50%, draw 27%, Bristol City 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.