Portsmouth 1-0 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 31.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.2
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.89
X/2
10%
6.62
X/X
15%
4.19
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.1
2/X
10%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.63/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
+19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
26.4 Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.10 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 Passes 334
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.01.2025 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
13.02.2018 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İN1
21.10.2017 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
03.04.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNP
07.11.2009 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-1 HT 0-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
09.05.2009 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
1-0
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
0.31 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
251 Passes 306
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
7 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth squeezed past Blackburn Rovers 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Portsmouth found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Portsmouth had 47% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 53%, shots finished 3-9, expected goals 0.31 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackburn Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Portsmouth and 2.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers?

Portsmouth 1-0 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 40%, draw 30%, Blackburn Rovers 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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