Leeds United vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leeds United v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Leeds United vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Swansea City
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Leeds United
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
2-1
HT 2-0
Swansea City
İNCL
Leeds United 2-2 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Leeds United and Swansea City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leeds United at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Leeds United had 55% of the ball to Swansea City's 45%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.78 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leeds United and 1.00 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Leeds United vs Swansea City?
Leeds United 2-2 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 64%, draw 21%, Swansea City 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS No went the other way.