Sunderland vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sunderland v Millwall — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Sunderland
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNCL
3-0
HT 0-0
Millwall
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-1
Sunderland
İNCL
Sunderland 1-0 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland squeezed past Millwall 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sunderland as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Sunderland had 45% of the ball to Millwall's 55%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 2.20 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sunderland's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sunderland and 0.83 for Millwall.
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Millwall?
Sunderland 1-0 Millwall in the England - Championship on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Millwall?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 46%, draw 29%, Millwall 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.