Millwall 1-1 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Nov 2024

Millwall
1-1 HT 0-1
Sunderland
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Millwall vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
5.89
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.6
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
8%
6.51
X/X
12%
3.69
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
5.68
2/X
9%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Millwall v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.38/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.35
+0% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.6 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Millwall vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millwall
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sunderland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.78 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
222 Passes 377
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 0-1 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
02.12.2023 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
04.02.2023 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
03.12.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 3-0 HT 0-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
03.03.2018 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
18.11.2017 Sunderland Sunderland 2-2 HT 1-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL

Millwall 1-1 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
1-1
AWAY Sunderland
1.29 xG 0.97
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
300 Passes 169
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall and Sunderland shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Millwall at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Millwall had 62% of the ball to Sunderland's 38%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.29 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millwall and 1.33 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Sunderland?

Millwall 1-1 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Millwall 44%, draw 30%, Sunderland 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Millwall), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millwall) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
23 Nov 2024
15:30 Bristol City vs Burnley Analysis →
15:30 Coventry vs Sheffield United Analysis →
15:30 Sheffield Wednesday vs Cardiff City Analysis →
18:00 Oxford United vs Middlesbrough Analysis →
18:00 West Bromwich vs Norwich City Analysis →
18:00 Preston North End vs Derby County Analysis →