Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — France - Ligue 2, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Montpellier
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.34 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
363 Passes 315
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2026 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR2
04.10.2025 Montpellier Montpellier 0-2 HT 0-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
16.03.2025 Montpellier Montpellier 0-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
23.11.2024 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
05.02.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-1 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
12.09.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 2-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
PREVIEW Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Saint-Etienne start as strong favourites on our numbers; Montpellier's job is to make the game ugly early.

One side has usually been blanked in Saint-Etienne's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5, while Montpellier have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saint-Etienne and 0.50 for Montpellier.

Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier Kick-off Time

Saint-Etienne play Montpellier in the France - Ligue 2 on 05/09/2026, kick-off 21:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Saint-Etienne vs Montpellier is a Saint-Etienne win at about 62% probability, priced 1.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Saint-Etienne 62%, draw 22%, Montpellier 16%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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