Mafra vs Sporting Covilha Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.86 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
388 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Mafra Mafra 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
14.09.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR3
24.04.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-2 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
04.11.2022 Mafra Mafra 3-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
19.03.2022 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
31.10.2021 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
PREVIEW Mafra vs Sporting Covilha
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Mafra hold a modest edge on our numbers — a lean, not a lock.

Mafra's recent home league games have been goal-heavy — 4 of the last 5 cleared 2.5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mafra have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Mafra against 1.00 for Sporting Covilha.

Mafra vs Sporting Covilha Kick-off Time

Mafra play Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/09/2026, kick-off 19:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Mafra vs Sporting Covilha Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Mafra vs Sporting Covilha is a Mafra win at about 52% probability, priced 1.82 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Mafra 52%, draw 28%, Sporting Covilha 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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