Mafra vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mafra v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Mafra vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Mafra
POR2
3-2
HT 1-2
Sporting Covilha
POR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POR2
3-1
HT 1-0
Mafra
PORLC
Mafra 2-0 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Mafra beat Sporting Covilha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mafra as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Mafra had 40% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 60%, shots finished 12-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mafra and 1.50 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Mafra vs Sporting Covilha?
Mafra 2-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mafra vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mafra 53%, draw 27%, Sporting Covilha 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.