Sao Joao Ver 2-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
0.64/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
-51% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
05.04.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 5-2 HT 1-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
01.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 2-2 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
14.12.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 2-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
31.08.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
22.01.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
2-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver nicked a narrow win over Sanjoanense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sao Joao Ver as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 49% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 51%, shots finished 14-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 2.50 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense?

Sao Joao Ver 2-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 44%, draw 26%, Sanjoanense 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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