Sanjoanense 2-2 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.89/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.91
+50% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 5-2 HT 1-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
01.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 2-2 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
14.12.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 2-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
31.08.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
22.01.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
2-2
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Sao Joao Ver couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanjoanense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 56% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.60 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Sanjoanense 2-2 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 46%, draw 25%, Sao Joao Ver 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanjoanense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
13 Sep 2025
17:30 Trofense vs Fafe Analysis →
17:30 Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →
19:00 Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atletico CP Analysis →
20:00 Academica vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →