Sanjoanense 2-2 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.95/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.10
-26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
22.01.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
2-2
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Sao Joao Ver shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanjoanense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 56% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 44%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.00 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Sanjoanense 2-2 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 42%, draw 24%, Sao Joao Ver 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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