Lusitania 0-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.34/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.77
+12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
13.10.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 Lusitania Lusitania POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania
0-1
AWAY Atletico CP
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lusitania vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP squeezed past Lusitania 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico CP as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lusitania had 57% of the ball to Atletico CP's 43%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Lusitania vs Atletico CP?

Lusitania 0-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 31%, draw 28%, Atletico CP 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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