Vilaverdense 1-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.50/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.27
+13% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Anadia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 1-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
22.01.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-1 HT 1-1 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
1-1
AWAY Anadia
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense and Anadia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 51% of the ball to Anadia's 49%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vilaverdense had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vilaverdense and 1.00 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Anadia?

Vilaverdense 1-1 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 33%, draw 28%, Anadia 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Anadia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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