Sao Joao Ver 1-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 32%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.76/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.03
-39% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense squeezed past Sao Joao Ver 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Joao Ver at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 49% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 51%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense?

Sao Joao Ver 1-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 48%, draw 25%, Sanjoanense 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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