Sao Joao Ver 2-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.68/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.12
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 2-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
31.08.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
22.01.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
2-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver and Sanjoanense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Joao Ver at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 41% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 59%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 2.00 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense?

Sao Joao Ver 2-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 44%, draw 28%, Sanjoanense 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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