Academica vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academica v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Academica vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POR3
Academica 2-1 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Academica edged past Sporting Covilha 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Academica had 51% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 49%, shots finished 15-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academica and 1.67 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Academica vs Sporting Covilha?
Academica 2-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academica vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Academica 44%, draw 26%, Sporting Covilha 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.