Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Amarante Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Amarante — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Amarante Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 Amarante — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa squeezed past Amarante 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Lusitania FC Lourosa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 54% of the ball to Amarante's 46%, shots finished 8-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 0.50 for Amarante.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Amarante?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Amarante?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 40%, draw 28%, Amarante 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.