Vilaverdense 1-0 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.6pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.54/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/0.44
-56% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Trofense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
17.08.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 1-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
1-0
AWAY Trofense
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense edged past Trofense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 37% of the ball to Trofense's 63%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trofense led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Vilaverdense and 0.50 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Trofense?

Vilaverdense 1-0 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 24%, draw 31%, Trofense 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trofense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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