Academica 4-1 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 46%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.64/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.03
+33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
1W-2D-0L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
27.10.2024 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
18.12.2022 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
4-1
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academica vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica ran out comfortable winners over CF Os Belenenses 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Academica made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academica had 43% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 57%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Academica and 0.33 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Academica vs CF Os Belenenses?

Academica 4-1 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated an CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Academica 36%, draw 26%, CF Os Belenenses 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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