Trofense 5-1 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.63/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.74
+31% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Fafe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Trofense Trofense 3-2 HT 1-2 Fafe Fafe POR3
31.08.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
27.04.2024 Fafe Fafe 2-3 HT 1-2 Trofense Trofense POR3
24.02.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-3 HT 1-2 Fafe Fafe POR3
13.01.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
01.10.2023 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
5-1
AWAY Fafe
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense swept aside Fafe 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Trofense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Trofense had 39% of the ball to Fafe's 61%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trofense and 1.83 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Fafe?

Trofense 5-1 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trofense 40%, draw 26%, Fafe 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ BTTS Yes
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