Trofense 0-1 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fafe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 2-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
0-1
AWAY Fafe
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe nicked a narrow win over Trofense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Trofense had 64% of the ball to Fafe's 36%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Fafe?

Trofense 0-1 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trofense 46%, draw 24%, Fafe 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trofense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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