Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 34%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.27
+150% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
0-1
AWAY Atletico CP
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP nicked a narrow win over Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lusitano Évora 1911 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 54% of the ball to Atletico CP's 46%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atletico CP?

Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 44%, draw 27%, Atletico CP 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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