Sanjoanense 5-2 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.47/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.12
+15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 2-2 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
14.12.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 2-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
31.08.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
22.01.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
5-2
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense swept aside Sao Joao Ver 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Sanjoanense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 58% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 42%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.50 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Sanjoanense 5-2 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 37%, draw 29%, Sao Joao Ver 34%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanjoanense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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