Dezembro 1-0 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 50%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.97/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.54
-18% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fafe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Fafe Fafe 3-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-0
AWAY Fafe
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro squeezed past Fafe 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Dezembro made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dezembro had 38% of the ball to Fafe's 62%, shots finished 5-13.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Fafe?

Dezembro 1-0 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 32%, draw 28%, Fafe 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fafe), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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