Trofense 0-2 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.88/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.52
+12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vilaverdense
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
30.11.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 0-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
17.08.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 1-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
0-2
AWAY Vilaverdense
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense beat Trofense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Trofense had 62% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 38%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Trofense and 0.33 for Vilaverdense.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Vilaverdense?

Trofense 0-2 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trofense 53%, draw 24%, Vilaverdense 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trofense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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