Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +7%
2.15/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.81
+45% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +69%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
07.02.2025 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-0 HT 1-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
2-1
AWAY Sporting CP II
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 48% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 52%, shots finished 5-2.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting CP II?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 44%, draw 28%, Sporting CP II 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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