Atletico CP 2-2 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
1.27/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.97
+1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
0W-2D-1L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2025 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
01.12.2024 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
18.08.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
2-2
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP and CF Os Belenenses shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico CP at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 47% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 53%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico CP and 0.67 for CF Os Belenenses.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses?

Atletico CP 2-2 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 41%, draw 32%, CF Os Belenenses 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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