Paredes 0-0 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paredes EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.36/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.29
+3% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paredes
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Varzim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 3
12.09.2025 Varzim Varzim 2-2 HT 0-1 Paredes Paredes POR3
12.03.2023 Paredes Paredes 1-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
02.12.2022 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paredes
0-0
AWAY Varzim
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paredes vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes and Varzim played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Paredes at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Paredes had 53% of the ball to Varzim's 47%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paredes and 1.00 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Paredes vs Varzim?

Paredes 0-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paredes vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paredes 45%, draw 27%, Varzim 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paredes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paredes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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