Atletico CP 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.48/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.25
+13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Lusitano Évora 1911 Lusitano Évora 1911 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-0
AWAY Lusitano Évora 1911
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP squeezed past Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico CP as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico CP had 40% of the ball to Lusitano Évora 1911's 60%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Atletico CP 1-0 Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Lusitano Évora 1911?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 42%, draw 29%, Lusitano Évora 1911 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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