Sporting Covilha 0-0 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mafra
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.68
43% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
264 Passes 388
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-2 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
04.11.2022 Mafra Mafra 3-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
19.03.2022 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
31.10.2021 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
01.08.2021 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-1 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra PORLC
24.04.2021 Mafra Mafra 2-2 HT 2-2 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
0-0
AWAY Mafra
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha and Mafra fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 47% of the ball to Mafra's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.50 for Mafra.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Mafra?

Sporting Covilha 0-0 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 37%, draw 26%, Mafra 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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