Caldas 2-2 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +19%
1.05/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.02
-19% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caldas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dezembro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
27.10.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
04.05.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
18.02.2024 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
11.11.2023 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
13.08.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 3-2 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldas
2-2
AWAY Dezembro
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Caldas vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas and Dezembro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldas had 48% of the ball to Dezembro's 52%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caldas and 1.17 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Caldas vs Dezembro?

Caldas 2-2 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldas vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Caldas 49%, draw 25%, Dezembro 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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