AD Marco 09 1-0 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 14 Sep 2025

AD Marco 09
1-0 HT 0-0
Amarante
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

AD Marco 09 vs Amarante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AD Marco 09 v Amarante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.49
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

AD Marco 09 1-0 Amarante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
1-0
AWAY Amarante
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AD Marco 09 vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Marco 09 nicked a narrow win over Amarante 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AD Marco 09 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 51% of the ball to Amarante's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Amarante?

AD Marco 09 1-0 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated a AD Marco 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 41%, draw 27%, Amarante 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AD Marco 09), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AD Marco 09) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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