Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Ukraine - Premier League, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.94
Away Pick
62%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
10.08.2025 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 3-3 HT 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
11.03.2025 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
14.09.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 HT 4-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
02.11.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
04.08.2019 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 2-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
PREVIEW Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The data tilts towards Shakhtar Donetsk despite the venue, which says a lot about how the model rates the two squads.

Goals against Karpaty Lviv have dried up: 4 clean sheets in their last 5 home league outings, and Shakhtar Donetsk have won 5 of their last 5 away league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 2.83 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Kick-off Time

Karpaty Lviv play Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 05/09/2026, kick-off 18:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk is an Shakhtar Donetsk win at about 62% probability, priced 1.6 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Karpaty Lviv 16%, draw 22%, Shakhtar Donetsk 62%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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