AFC Telford United 1-1 Cleethorpes Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.18
Over Pick
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Cleethorpes Town EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Cleethorpes Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United and Cleethorpes Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Telford United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Cleethorpes Town?

AFC Telford United 1-1 Cleethorpes Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Cleethorpes Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 51%, draw 22%, Cleethorpes Town 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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