Guiseley 0-1 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-3 HT 2-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
13.01.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 2-0 HT 1-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 0-2 HT 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
02.01.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 1-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
29.08.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 0-1 HT 0-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bamber Bridge edged past Guiseley 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guiseley had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Guiseley and 1.00 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Bamber Bridge?

Guiseley 0-1 Bamber Bridge in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 42%, draw 25%, Bamber Bridge 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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